Apocalipse

A acontecer sera pela mao do poder politico (e pela concentraçao de poder so possivel nos Estados Modernos) e nao pelo capitalismo:

Num artigo recente de Robert S. McNamara, o "homem" da guerra do Vietname, aquele que no documentario disponivel agora em DVD "The Fog of War" nos mostra o lado amargurado de quem combateu todas as guerras (a sua primeira recordaçao foram os festejos do fim da Primeira, foi responsavel pelo bombardeamento convencional de dezenas de cidades japonesas, e comandou a Guerra do Vietname - diz que Kennedy ja tinha decidido acabar com a guerra mas depois do seu assassinato, o seu vice, Lyndon Johnson "nao quis ser o primeiro a perder uma") e nos fala da crise de Cuba:

Basicamente, no pico da crise, Kennedy tinha o conselho para atacar Cuba, ainda por cima porque a informaçao da CIA era que ainda nao continham as ogivas, mas Kennedy decidiu aproveitar a primeira oportunidade de abertura pelos Sovieticos. O incrivel da situaçao passa por perceber que os sovieticos afinal (confirmado pelo proprio Castro a Mcnamara anos mais tarde) tinham mesmo ogivas armadas em Cuba e que se Kennedy tivesse atacado, seria certo um ataque nuclear mutuo. E hoje sabemos, para que seria necessario? O muro caiu pacificamente pela desintegraçao da autoridade do Estado (atençao" libertarians," a desintegraçao dum Estado pode mesmo acontecer!) e ninguem se incomodou sequer com perseguiçoes vingativas.

"What Castro Taught UsAmong the costs of maintaining nuclear weapons is the risk—to me an unacceptable risk—of use of the weapons either by accident or as a result of misjudgment or miscalculation in times of crisis. The Cuban Missile Crisis demonstrated that the United States and the Soviet Union—and indeed the rest of the world—came within a hair’s breadth of nuclear disaster in October 1962.

Indeed, according to former Soviet military leaders, at the height of the crisis, Soviet forces in Cuba possessed 162 nuclear warheads, including at least 90 tactical warheads. At about the same time, Cuban President Fidel Castro asked the Soviet ambassador to Cuba to send a cable to Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev stating that Castro urged him to counter a U.S. attack with a nuclear response. Clearly, there was a high risk that in the face of a U.S. attack, which many in the U.S. government were prepared to recommend to President Kennedy, the Soviet forces in Cuba would have decided to use their nuclear weapons rather than lose them. Only a few years ago did we learn that the four Soviet submarines trailing the U.S. Naval vessels near Cuba each carried torpedoes with nuclear warheads. Each of the sub commanders had the authority to launch his torpedoes. The situation was even more frightening because, as the lead commander recounted to me, the subs were out of communication with their Soviet bases, and they continued their patrols for four days after Khrushchev announced the withdrawal of the missiles from Cuba." Apocalypse Soon, By Robert S. McNamara