sexta-feira, 14 de outubro de 2005

Unintended consequences

Todas as guerras o tiveram, A começar pela de 1914 pela qual ainda sentimos hoje os seus efeitos (incluindo os próprios árabes). A queda de Saddam e do regime, fez com que o Irão se tornasse na potência sem rival na zona. O Império Persa retoma a sua posição natural? Bush fala de Vitória Total mas isso será o quê - uma Confederação Suiça na peninsula árabe?

"Iran sitting pretty as 'main winner' in war on Iraq. Tehran hopes vote will speed U.S. pullou

TEHRAN: Iran considers itself to be the "main winner" of the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq and the toppling of Saddam Hussein, with the forthcoming Iraqi constitutional referendum likely to reinforce this sentiment, officials said. The Islamic Republic appears happy to keep a low profile ahead of the October 15 vote on Iraq's new constitution, with officials here confident that friendly Shiite or Kurdish groups will consolidate their already strong position.

In addition, Iran sees the vote as another step towards the departure of foreign troops, even if the clerical regime does not expect them to leave in the immediate future.

"Shiites are in a majority in Iraq and can be expected to act as a common force given the repression they suffered under Saddam," said Mohammad Ali Abtahi, a former Iranian vice president.

"And naturally, any free election or referendum will benefit the Shiites, the ideological allies of Iran," he said. "Iran doesn't even have to do anything for that to happen."

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